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What Does a Global Blackout Mean for Mainframe Companies?

What Does a Global Blackout Mean for Mainframe Companies?

Capt Uday Prasad

 Picture this: a global blackout plunges the world into darkness, and with it, down go financial institutions, healthcare systems, government services, and transportation. Chaos reigns. The heart of the modern economy—those powerful, "outdated" mainframes—comes to a standstill. The result? Absolute devastation. Yet, while everyone points fingers at the power grid, the real issue lies deeper: a lack of knowledge. Despite the fact that mainframes have quietly run the world’s critical infrastructure for decades, the collective ignorance about their importance is staggering.

We talk about digital transformation and cloud-first strategies, but how many companies can survive if their mainframe fails during a global blackout? Probably none. It’s time to face a harsh truth: if the tech industry doesn’t wake up and educate people about the real backbone of our economy, the next global outage could mean more than just flickering lights—it could mean economic collapse.

 The Ironic Impact of a Global Blackout

Mainframes, the supposed dinosaurs of tech, power most critical sectors like banking, healthcare, and government services. Imagine the irony of these "outdated" systems being taken down by a blackout that they could’ve easily survived had anyone cared to invest in their upkeep. We’ve spent years migrating to the shiny cloud, only to find out, too late, that when the real storm hits, the cloud is just as vulnerable as any other infrastructure.

The cost? Not just lost revenue. Imagine halted financial transactions, hospitals without patient data, governments unable to respond to crises. It’s the perfect storm—and the global economy is its victim. So while everyone scrambles to bring their systems back online, the mainframes that were ignored for so long will be sitting there, smug in their reliability—if only anyone knew how to turn them back on.

 Lack of Training: A Comedy of Errors

The best part? We’re not even prepared for this. The very people who should be running and maintaining these systems are disappearing because no one thought it necessary to teach mainframes in schools or invest in training programs for IT managers and executives. Brilliant, isn’t it?

Freshers: Misinformed from Day One

Students are being led to believe that if they know how to build an app, they’re set for life. Never mind the fact that the systems actually keeping society functioning are written in COBOL, CICS, JCL, and other "ancient" languages. Freshers are told mainframes are a thing of the past, so they flock to the latest trendy technologies—completely unaware that the real money, the real jobs, and the real stability lie in mainframe expertise.

By the time they realize it, they’re in too deep. Too bad, right? And when the global blackout hits, they’ll be the first to ask, "Wait, what’s a mainframe again?"

 Mid-Level IT Managers: The Blind Leading the Blind

The irony only gets richer. Mid-level IT managers, who are supposed to be the guardians of these systems, are woefully undertrained. Sure, they know how to manage cloud platforms and run a Kubernetes cluster, but ask them to troubleshoot a mainframe in crisis? Forget it. These managers are the ones who will be staring at green screens during a global blackout, wondering why the ‘Ctrl+Alt+Del’ trick isn’t working.

Mainframes? They’re robust and reliable—if someone knows how to maintain them. Otherwise, we’re all just waiting for the inevitable meltdown.

 CXOs: Clueless at the Top

And let’s not forget the CXOs—those esteemed CTOs, CFOs, and CEOs making billion-dollar decisions without the slightest understanding of what mainframes even do. It's almost comical: the very systems keeping their companies afloat are a complete mystery to them. They’re too busy being dazzled by cloud vendors to realize the ticking time bomb under their desks.

When the global blackout comes, they’ll be at a loss. "Why is our banking system down?" they’ll ask, oblivious to the fact that their mainframes have been ignored for years. Perhaps then, in a flash of irony, they’ll finally realize that their 'modernization efforts' didn’t modernize much at all.

Cloud Vendors: Selling Dreams While the Mainframe Burns

Speaking of modernization, cloud vendors must be laughing all the way to the bank. They’ve convinced entire industries to ditch their mainframes in favor of ‘cutting-edge’ cloud platforms that promise to solve all their problems—until the power goes out, that is.

Here’s the punchline: mainframes were doing cloud-like computing long before Amazon ever dreamed up AWS. IBM even offers Mainframe as a Service (MaaS)—a solution that’s as scalable and flexible as any cloud platform, but without the hidden costs and vendor lock-in. It’s almost as if mainframes have been quietly doing exactly what the cloud promises, but no one was paying attention. Classic.

A Global Blackout: The Perfect Storm of Ignorance

So, what happens when a global blackout hits? Downtime, vulnerabilities, and wasted resources on an unimaginable scale. Integration failures, retraining costs, and catastrophic losses will pile up—all because too many companies bought into the false narrative that mainframes are relics of the past.

It’s not just about downtime. The real cost comes later, when companies realize that migrating to the cloud wasn’t the magic bullet they thought it was. Hidden fees, endless upgrades, and a lack of skilled professionals will make them yearn for the days when their mainframes ran smoothly, 24/7, without the need for constant babysitting.

 The Real Missed Opportunity

Here’s the kicker: IBM and other mainframe companies are partly to blame for this mess. If they had made mainframe training more accessible and affordable, we might not be in this position. Instead, by allowing mainframes to be viewed as ‘legacy systems,’ they’ve let cloud vendors take center stage, selling their services as the future—when in fact, they’re often just as fragile as the infrastructure they claim to replace.

 The Bitter Reality: Mainframes Are Still Our Future

In the end, the truth is as ironic as it is sobering: mainframes are still the future, but we’re doing everything we can to ignore them. If we continue to neglect training programs and fail to prepare the next generation of IT professionals, a global blackout could be the least of our worries. We’ll be dealing with an entire generation of tech workers who don’t know how to keep the lights on.

Mainframes have always been reliable, but they can only do so much without skilled hands at the helm. The next time you hear about the wonders of the cloud, just remember: when the power goes out, you’ll wish you had a team that knew how to handle a mainframe.

 

 

 

ZEDINFOTECH, prasad.uday60@gmail.com 30 April 2025
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